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The New Rules of War: Victory in the Age of Durable Disorder, by Sean McFate
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Review
“The future is one of deep uncertainty and few offer a bold or clear exposition of its character. McFate has done just that and the results are both compelling and persuasive. If we heed his advice, we may make the necessary adjustments in time to avert a serious catastrophe.” (-Prof. Robert Johnson, Director of the Changing Character of War Program, Oxford University )“An important handbook for a new generation of warriors and a primer for the conduct of contemporary armed conflict. The question posed is how to secure a favorable outcome when the concept of victory is so fluid and shaped by perception as much as any military result.” (Sir Richard Dearlove, former director, MI6)“This book isn’t pretty, but it’s necessary reading for the strategically inclined.” (Kirkus Reviews)“McFate’s experience… inform(s) this standout work of military science… An authoritative and skillful analysis of the state of war today.” (Publishers Weekly)“A fascinating and disturbing book . . . Mr. McFate writes with an insider’s knowledge ... the worrying trends he describes make this book a powerful call to arms to those who do not want a world awash with mercenaries.” (The Economist on The Modern Mercenary)“Thought-provoking . . . Some of [McFate’s] stories have never been told before, which makes the book particularly valuable.” (Foreign Affairs on The Modern Mercenary)“McFate’s persuasive, unsettling, and nonpolemical account describes the way PMSCs are changing the face of war.” (Publishers Weekly (starred review) on The Modern Mercenary)“Essential reading for anyone who wants to understand a new component of modern warfare.” (General Stanley A. McChrystal on The Modern Mercenary)“A must read for political leaders who are drawn into having to fight today’s wars.” (Sir Richard Dearlove, former head of MI6 on The Modern Mercenary)“With well-drawn and fascinating characters and ground level espionage and combat sure to please fans of Brad Thor, Tom Clancy, and Daniel Silva, Shadow War is simply one of the most entertaining and intriguing books I’ve read in quite some time.” (Mark Greaney, #1 NYT Bestselling author of BACK BLAST)
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About the Author
Sean McFate is a professor of strategy at the National Defense University and Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service. He is also a Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, a think tank. He served as a paratrooper in the US Army’s 82nd Airborne Division and then worked for a major private military corporation, where he ran operations similar to those in this book. He is the author of The Modern Mercenary: Private Armies and What They Mean for World Order, and holds a BA from Brown University, a MA from Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and a PhD in international relations from the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE). He lives with his wife in Washington, DC.
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Product details
Hardcover: 336 pages
Publisher: William Morrow (January 22, 2019)
Language: English
ISBN-10: 0062843583
ISBN-13: 978-0062843586
Product Dimensions:
6 x 1.1 x 9 inches
Shipping Weight: 1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
Average Customer Review:
4.7 out of 5 stars
21 customer reviews
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#9,471 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
The New Rules of War is an outstanding am long-overdue corrective to modern American strategic thinking, which remains obsessed with technology and the drive for decisive victory using conventional military force. It is not without flaws, but these are more than offset by the scythe that McFate brings to the conventional wisdom.McFate’s essential premise is that conventional warfare is dead and that strategists need to focus on the tools that our adversaries use to circumvent conventional strength. This is not in itself a groundbreaking assertion—its become a de rigueur statement amongst strategists since the rise of insurgencies in Iraq and Afghanistan. But as McFate points out, the chorus of voices making this point has done nothing to change the military’s emphasis on technical solutions to non-technical problems. This has only worsened since DoD reprioritized great power competition. McFate’s understanding of the coming “durable disorder†and the changing character of warfare is refreshing and should be considered deeply and at length by all involved in defense policy.The book’s imperfections come not in McFate’s assessments, but in his tone and style. He often comes across as overly polemical, almost as though he has an axe to grind. While this doubtless makes for quicker reading--perhaps especially to a lay audience--it leads to blanket statements that undermine the strength of his arguments. For example, McFate dismisses the utility of Clausewitz to discussions of modern conflict, labeling him the “high priest of conventional warfare,†despite having recapitulated Clausewitz’s own distinction between the immutable nature of war and the changing character of warfare only a few paragraphs earlier. This is sloppy: while Clausewitz’s discussion on the conduct of warfare from the Napoleonic era is obviously divorced from conflict today, his understanding of war’s political nature, and that its conduct is governed by the blending of passion, reason, and chance remain as timeless as ever. Indeed McFate’s whole book could be read as an answer to the Prussian’s statement that the first and most important act of strategy is to understand the nature of war one is engaging in, neither mistaking it for nor attempting to change it into something alien to its nature.Similar statements are sprinkled throughout the book, but they pale in comparison to the fresh thinking he brings to the table. Ultimately, the US and its allies are doomed to suffer failed strategies and increasing insecurity unless they understand, as McFate does, that the utility of conventional force is declining and that new method of advancing the national interest are required.
I recommend the book. I agree with the other reviewers. There is some overreaching at times, but overreach is part of being passionate about changes. I have four disagreements or perhaps added perspectives as disagreement is too strong a word:1) The problem is not only an over reliance on technology vs human wits, but lacking the understanding of what is truly threatening from a technological perspective. A good example is an EMP. The author rightly so pointed out that the use of air carriers and the attack on Pearl Harbor were predicted, but these predictions dismissed by the establishment. The money spent on the F35 would have been enough not only to better protect the grid and having spare parts available, but also to protect nuclear reactors, military bases dependent on electricity and, as battery technology evolves, to provide large household batteries and renewables to most households in the US. The F35 is the battleship of yesterday. But again, this is technology vs. technology + imagination.2) Borrowing from Kissinger, it is possible to divide the world in three historical moments: places where war as a political tool is unthinkable (e.g. between West European states), places where national interests and alliances resemble the 1st World War (e.g. the Asia of China, Japan, etc.) and places where the 30-year war did not take place as yet (e.g. the islamic world). Of course this is a simplification, but the increased complexity of warfare is not only be due to the rise of non-state actors but also to the multidimensional interaction of different historical moments.3) The author stresses that the rise of non-state agents, the use of subterfuge and weaponization of information and the impact of mercenaries will change how war is waged. In fact, it has already changed. He stresses that the laws of war will not or may not be followed if one is to be victorious. However, the doctrine of jus in bello and jus ad bellum precedes nation states. My understanding is that the Catholic Church developed these ideas to assist Christian Princes to wage war in moral way in a world characterized by disorder. Of course this is not a book about the moral of warfare, but I am sure that the author gave some thought to the issue. A new understanding of jus in bello and ad bellum will be necessary for democratic societies to succeed, not a utilitarian dismissal of the subject.4) I am a civilian and by no means know how military education is delivered. However, I suspect that the necessary changes of education must go much deeper than the early introduction to strategy studies. The ability to think differently depends in part on the ability to not believe one's opinions too strongly. There is benefit of having doubts. I suspect that the strength of certainty is a preferred quality in the military career. This is surely difficult to change.To a degree, these are straw man arguments. The author's positions are fluid enough to accommodate all four points. I enjoyed the book very much. I am sure his classes are not only informative, but truly formative of officers and others lucky enough to meet him in person.
Sean has done a brilliant job of capturing the essence of modern warfare. He describes why the American military's preferred form of warfare has failed over the past 50 years to win a single war, and how our enemies are out-thinking us and winning, often without engaging us in direct combat. He proposes ten new rules for waging war in an era of durable disorder in which states and non-state actors fight without regard for our geographic, organizational, and functional boundaries; how they use information much more skillfully; and how private military corporations are commercializing war and relegating Westphalian warfare to the scrap heap of history. This is graduate-level military art, but Sean simplifies the complexity of modern warfare so that novices can understand it, while experienced practitioners can expand their professional horizons and make sense of the last 18 years of wars in the Middle east and elsewhere. This book should be mandatory reading in professional military education currricula, and in the library of every national security professional.
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