Ebook Download Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets: Incerto, Book 1

Ebook Download Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets: Incerto, Book 1

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Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets: Incerto, Book 1

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Listening Length: 8 hours and 57 minutes

Program Type: Audiobook

Version: Unabridged

Publisher: Random House Audio

Audible.com Release Date: January 8, 2019

Whispersync for Voice: Ready

Language: English, English

ASIN: B07KRN227R

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

Fooled by Randomness revolutionized how I view the world. In multiple ways. It's hard to overstate how rarely a book changes your ideas about how the world works once, let alone multiple times, and that Taleb has managed to weave a fantastically engaging and entertaining book out of what could very easily be a dry and technical topic is just icing in the cake.I've read all four of Taleb's books and Fooled By Randomness still stands out as my favorite. Although Black Swan is still the most popular, and most controversial, Fooled in many ways is the most practical, as it's the most general and therefore most widely applicable. Everyone should deeply understand the survivorship and hindsight biases, as well as the difference between conditional and unconditional probability.That being said, it's often hard to determine whether the heart of the book is the ideas (which to someone such as myself who has only a Stats 101 background in probability are almost always revelation-inducing) or the author. I can't stress how much I learned from this book that has nothing to do with probability or statistics, just random asides from an erudite and meandering mind. Regardless of your background (or even your interest in probability) you will probable learn some fascinating and/or useful tidbit from Fooled, and probably a whole lot more.

Bad news. You are a fool about to be fooled. Again. And again. Just like everybody else. We are a species of fools. What a circus! But Taleb is a special kind of fool, foolish enough to write an essay on how randomness fools us. Interesting fool, nay? The whole thing feels like a foolish attempt to make us better fools. Even his methodology writing this book is foolish. Speaking his mind and having fun. Fool, fOOl, FOOL! Outrageous even for a brave fool. If you don't take yourself too seriously (say a foolish fool), this book is damn entertaining. Otherwise, this book is very insulting for serious fools. Seems that our carbon-based machinery fails us dealing with the abstract tools (say probability theory) we have been developing to understand nature (say since Pythagoras; just to finish with a foolish guess). Enjoy, you fool.

I know many I think might profit from reading this book. I know few who'd be likely to agree with my assessment, especially after they had read it. With that in mind, how many stars does it deserve? I like it better than the Black Swan.The author has thought deeply about risk and uncertainty. Before reading this I thought I had too. No longer. Perhaps reading this while young would produce a more positive asessment of its value but in one's later years it is more depressing than enlightening. Yes, most of us are fools so what's new in that? Will any readers be made less foolish by reading this? That is really the question.

I really like Nassim's rebel disposition and skepticism when it comes to science. I do, like many people, lean on science to get me closer to the truth. Sometimes too much. Nassim challenges this position based on his experience as a trader and what he's observed over the course of his life. He demonstrates how theories may simply be the theorizer being fooled by random events. That is, the common problem of correlation being mistaken for causation. He's certainly changed my mindset to be more skeptical of elaborate theorizing and to look at the world with more of a bottom-up approach. That is, if something works, knowing the theory of why, doesn't make it necessarily any more valid.

Taleb is of course famous for avoiding bull or bear trend naked bets and protecting himself for black swan events like big bank crashes. His revision of this book was needed but is long read for non-academics.Somewhat personal lifestyle story but serious warnings like those of George E P Box that "all models are wrong, but some are useful." But Taleb adds that modern derivatives and options that lose most of the time but win big infrequently are a great strategy for those with means and patience while crashes wipe out the rest of the naked speculators big time. Enjoyed the ideas and stories. Academics will appreciate the well selected references and explanations of why only are a few have "useful models" in the big human-centric gambling casino that is Wall Street. Economics in general is a fuzzy world to model compared to more deterministic factory machines. So don't stop using statistical methods in that latter world. But protect yourself from human factors in the financial world..

I can tolerate the ego-maniacal writing style, but I cannot abide the enormous errors the author commits when he delves into science.To wit: Taleb posits that Einstein proved Newton wrong. Not true. Einstein showed that Newtonian mechanics failed at the extremes - extremely large (cosmologic) and extremely small (atomic distances). Further, he posits that the poor schlep scientist's odds of success continue to increase as he does more mouse experiments. Untrue if the hypothesis under which the scientist is proceeding is ultimately incorrect. And finally, the author accepts global warming as a given and castigates science for not having recognized the truth of it from random weather events. Taleb, stick your knitting. It's one thing to be ignorant, but another to open one's mouth and remove all doubt.

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Ebook Demystifying the First Year: A Guide to the 1L Experience

Ebook Demystifying the First Year: A Guide to the 1L Experience

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Demystifying the First Year: A Guide to the 1L Experience

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Product details

Paperback: 192 pages

Publisher: Aspen Publishers (September 17, 2009)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0735584494

ISBN-13: 978-0735584495

Product Dimensions:

7 x 0.5 x 9.8 inches

Shipping Weight: 12.8 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.7 out of 5 stars

4 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#1,003,357 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Helps with taking the first year in law school. Makes the first year in law school a little bit easier to handle.

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File Size: 825 KB

Print Length: 230 pages

Page Numbers Source ISBN: 184472106X

Simultaneous Device Usage: Up to 4 simultaneous devices, per publisher limits

Publisher: Routledge-Cavendish; 1 edition (November 20, 2007)

Publication Date: November 20, 2007

Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC

Language: English

ASIN: B00ID5FYD2

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PDF Download Sewing Happiness: A Year of Simple Projects for Living Well, by Sanae Ishida

PDF Download Sewing Happiness: A Year of Simple Projects for Living Well, by Sanae Ishida

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Review

2016 Homemaker Magazine Best Home Sewing Book Award Winner “In a world of Pinterest-perfect styling and overposed, overedited sewing blog photos, Ishida’s honesty is refreshing, and her thoughtful musings on the importance of “taking a break”—whether to sew, enjoy family, or simply appreciate our lives—are a delight.”—Library Journal“Sewing Happiness: A Year of Simple Projects for Living Well by Sanae Ishida features 20 simple sewing projects tied to Ishida’s memoir of living with chronic illness, and all are designed to promote health, creativity, and inspiration.”—Publishers Weekly“Through a year of threading and hemming, [Sanae] Ishida produced all her daughter’s (ridiculously fashionable) clothes, some garments for herself as well as household crafts. In her new book, Sewing Happiness, she stitches together a memoir, a delightful medley of sewing projects and a strong lesson in wabi-sabi, the concept of finding beauty in imperfection.”—Seattle Magazine“Part sewing-pattern collection, part one woman’s personal tale of her self-help journey, this book aims to be as inspirational as it is useful.”—Booklist"You might be sewing a pattern, but confidence will also emerge on the other side of the presser foot, and that, Sanae assures, will bring you sewing happiness."  —Seattle's Child“In this book, Ishida shares the emotional story of how she has overcome career struggles and health issues in her life by turning to the craft of sewing. These 20 simple, useful projects are organized by season and tell the poignant story of how [Ishida] was aboule to transform her life.”—Craft Ideas Magazine"Sewing Happiness presents a collection of simple, streamlined projects for your sewing enjoyment year round."—Sew News"I could have never  imagined that a sewing book could be this brilliant."—Straightgrain“Talk about a force to be reckoned with!”—Besotted Blog“This book is beautiful. It’s beautifully written, beautifully styled and photographed, and beautiful to hold in your hands. It’s the kind of book that you would be thrilled to receive as a gift, and even more excited to give away to someone you love.”—Closet Case Files“A lovely book, and very relatable if you’ve ever struggled with your health or with finding meaning and joy in your life.” —Sew Mama Sew“This book is more than a collection of projects…[it] is an open, honest, raw and vulnerable conversation about how making things can heal us.” —A Happy Stitch"One of the things I loved most about this book is the fact that it’s not just about crafting and sewing as a skill. Sewing Happiness actually digs down deep into the idea that crafting is a meditative, health-boosting practice that really has the power to transform how you feel...bring on the sewing machine!"—Dream Green DIY“[Ishida’s] book reads almost like a memoir and sewing book rolled into one; and it is so elegantly, and authentically done.” —Delia Creates"Sanae [Ishida] is one of those people with a generous heart, a humble spirit and loveliness just oozing out of her.  Her words, her paintings, her carefully crafted sewing projects – everything she touches has a sense of calm and beauty." —You and Mie"Sewing Happiness encourages the formation of good habits…[and] reminds us that productivity can lead to tranquility if practiced with intention."—Kitsap Sun"This book...creates an inspiring path to happiness and health through acts of creativity"—Discover Nikkei"[Sewing Happiness] is part memoir, part sewing book, and filled throughout with beautiful photography and illustrations.  It is a joy to read."—Cut Cut Sew"I’m inspired by the beautiful styling and thoughtful, simple projects. Many of the projects would make great gifts."—Crab and Bee"Sewing Happiness is very highly recommended"—Midwest Book Review"Sewing Happiness is a beautiful and touching book about the healing power of making.  Part memoir, part craft book, and all gorgeous, you won't be able to put it down."—Small+Friendly"This book, unlike most other craft/sewing books, had me reading each and every page, each and every project introduction.  It's moving, inspiring and of course instructional as well."—Buzzmills "Sewing Happiness: A Year of Simple Projects for Living Well, is full of truly lovely and, yes, simple projects. The sort of projects that are pleasing to make and to live with day after day."—Bolt"I love, love the format of the book–a hybrid memoir and craft book. I want all my ‘how-to’ books to be written this way."—Besotted“So inspiring! I loved that each project had it's own story.” —Petit a Petit and Family“A whole lot of fun.”—Falafel and the Bee “I am really attracted to this aesthetic and loved the sample projects and photos in the book.” —Ginger Makes"Part memoir, part inspiration and part DIY craft camp, Sewing Happiness draws readers in with an honest account of Ishida’s professional failure and personal health crisis and the healing power of her passion—sewing."—Sally Bjornsen Represents“A load of fun!” —NW Book Lovers“A delightful, compact and easily understandable pattern book.” —Bainbridge Island Review“I utterly fell in love with it.”—A Playful Day“Twenty sewing projects punctuate this memoir, which is refreshingly honest, and ultimately upbeat about the challenges of being a woman and a mother."—Embroidery“Did somebody say hostess gift?”—New Jersey Monthly“Unique.” —Making Magazine “[Ishida] has been making things most of her life.” —Red Tricycle  “Stitched together with [Sanae Ishida’s] charming personal story.” —Creative Boom"Author and sewing enthusiast Sanae Ishida will guide you through"—Skillshare"This book is a beauty from the beginning to end - the words, the photos, the illustrations, the colors."—Groovybaby...and mama "Sewing Happiness is unique among craft books that I've seen to date, in that it is as much a biographical tale as it is an instructional sewing pattern book."—Bartacks and Single Track "Sanae is a wonderful writer in addition to being a talented, creative, and kind soul. And really, as she says: "this isn't your typical sewing book." It is so much more."—Just Add Fabric"Sewing Happiness is a beautiful book to behold, a collection of very simple sewing projects divided into seasonal categories." —Needle and Ted"Twenty simple sewing projects are tied together with a thread of memoir that tells the story of how sewing brought Sanae Ishida profound happiness." —Love to Sew "No book has described the healing and life-affirming practice of sewing more beautifully than Sanae Ishida’s Sewing Happiness."  —Sew News"A real gem—a lovely lovely book for anyone that sews and thinks about life and it's challenges. I fully plan to make some more of the projects in this book."—Ruby Sappings"Shows readers the power of a little creativity in their lives."—Mother Earth News

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About the Author

Sanae Ishida writes, sews, draws, and takes photos almost every day. She lives with her husband and daughter in Seattle. Both she and her daughter have too many handmade clothes.

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Product details

Paperback: 240 pages

Publisher: Sasquatch Books (April 19, 2016)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 1570619956

ISBN-13: 978-1570619953

Product Dimensions:

7.3 x 0.8 x 8.5 inches

Shipping Weight: 1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.6 out of 5 stars

56 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#81,551 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Don't be fooled by the title; this isn't just a book for sewers, it's for EVERYONE. Sewing Happiness is an awesome book for anyone who is facing change, especially change that you didn't expect and didn't think you wanted or needed. Reading Sanae's writing is like reading the confessions of a close friend who went through a terrible time but survived, and now has much hindsight, wisdom, and humor to share with you. I was inspired by her honesty, self-deprecating humor, courage to heal herself, and beautiful craftiness. I'm embarking on my own path to healing and I know that the heartfelt stories in this book, along with the creative projects, are going to help me on my way. Thank you, Sanae.

I love this book.:) It is an unusual combination of an artist's personal story and a sewing book, and yet that combination works beautifully. It's hard to describe what category I would put this book into. I love the projects, because although they are not difficult, they are also not what you might find in other sewing books. They have the author's well-developed creative touch, and each project was chosen for a personal reason by this writer, as you will see when you read her story and see what she chose to include. I plan to make several of them. The fabrics chosen for the projects also reflect the artist and provide some guidance in making a more sophisticated product.One brilliant aspect of this book was Not to include patterns, but instead to encourage the readers to follow the directions, which are all just fine, and to draft their own patterns. I don't usually think of sewing books as works of art, but I think this one is. Buy one for yourself, and also for a friend.Theres a lot of soul in this sewing book!

I enjoyed the book, but wasn’t inspired to sew any of the projects. The author focuses on her background and influences so much that it is more of an autobiography that a sewing book. The instructions are clear and whilst there is nothing actually wrong with them, they are totally uninspiring, very simple and masculine. I can see how it would appeal to beginner sewers, but I was disappointed and wouldn’t recommend it.

Sewing Happiness is a sweet collection of projects— some that are a different take on familiar standbys and some that are completely new. For those who’ve never sewn without a pattern, it’s a gentle intro to drafting your own. For the time-challenged, it’s an invitation to sit down and enjoy some mindful sewing. For those who love to give handmade gifts, it’s a great little resource. It’s also pretty to look at and a pleasure to read. This book is also a lovely testament to the power that very simple creative acts can have in our lives, and to the capacity that making things can have to help us push past difficult moments. Out of personal sharing comes some great little life lessons. Very nicely done!

Love this book. Made several of the triangle bags.

Truth be told, when I received this book and started looking through it, my first impulse was to return it. I was turned off by the amateurish-looking drawings that went with the instructions and I didn't like the way the book was organized with the description/photos of the items separate from the instructions. The seasonal organization isn't very intuitive either, to me anyway. But I gave a couple of the projects a try and was pleased with the results. I made the fabric basket and the origami triangle bag and both turned out beautifully. I was almost afraid to attempt the latter as I just couldn't picture how it would work, at first. Not all of the projects appeal, especially since I don't have kids, but I'll probably make more.

Really enjoyed reading about the author's journey back to wellness, it was inspirational. The projects are beautifully presented, though I do wish the diagrams with the instrucions would have been actual photographs rather than stick figures as the photography in the rest of the book was so well done. I am still glad to have this in my collection.

More than a collection of projects, this book shares the author's very personal journey of emotional and physical healing and family bonding throughout a period of her life. An amazing read that touched my heart and inspired me to rethink how i see my own relationships with my projects.

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Ebook Piano Literature - Book 4: Developing Artist Original Keyboard Classics (The Developing Artist)

Ebook Piano Literature - Book 4: Developing Artist Original Keyboard Classics (The Developing Artist)

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Piano Literature - Book 4: Developing Artist Original Keyboard Classics (The Developing Artist)

Ebook Piano Literature - Book 4: Developing Artist Original Keyboard Classics (The Developing Artist)

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Product details

Series: The Developing Artist

Paperback: 128 pages

Publisher: Faber Piano Adventures; Pap/Com edition (January 1, 2001)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 9781616772826

ISBN-13: 978-1616772826

ASIN: 1616772824

Product Dimensions:

9 x 0.4 x 12 inches

Shipping Weight: 15.2 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.6 out of 5 stars

11 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#234,058 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

This is one of the best values in piano music! Our son has enjoyed learning with the Faber series, and this collection of pieces has him excited to continue taking piano lessons so that he can learn many of the pieces in this book. It includes a wide variety of styles and composers...good job, Fabers, and thanks for the fantastic price!

GOOD

Intelligent compilation of gorgeous pieces! Many standards, and a few pleasant surprises, included. Very readable, clean edition.

I like the musical selection of this series. Good crisp printing and good layout so easy to turn pages by yourself.

We like this series. This book has quite a few songs I think are boring, but it's much thicker than the others, so there are still plenty of good ones.

Great book! Many challenging songs, and it comes with a CD!

Awonderful and insightful book! I use this with my private piano students to aid them in learning great piano literature and from which musical era the composition came and the CD ...unbelievable!

Great product and quick shipping!! Thank you!

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Ebook Download , by Sarah Attwood

Ebook Download , by Sarah Attwood

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, by Sarah Attwood

Ebook Download , by Sarah Attwood

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Product details

File Size: 4847 KB

Print Length: 320 pages

Publisher: Jessica Kingsley Publishers; 1 edition (May 15, 2008)

Publication Date: May 15, 2008

Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC

Language: English

ASIN: B00ENSO1XM

Text-to-Speech:

Enabled

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Word Wise: Enabled

Lending: Not Enabled

Screen Reader:

Supported

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#864,856 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)

I've been very grateful for this book as my son gets into the teen years. We try to have forthright conversations, but I'm sure this book covers more things than I ever would be able to, in matter-of-fact language. It talks straight-forwardly about a number of sexual topics, self-care, relationships, etc. Frankly, neurotypicals like me probably could have used a book like this! If you want to keep to euphemisms and kind of the straight and narrow, this is not the book for you, as there are frank discussions about STDs, varying forms of sexuality, various sexual acts, etc, but I think it's perfect for my high school son, who's going to be hearing things from his public high school anyway. This way, between this book and me, I know he has recourse to more factual information.

I bought this book for my daughter with Asperger's Syndrome because she had begun to ask questions about sex that I could no longer answer accurately. When she asks me something and I'm concerned that I can't provide her with correct information, I just tell her to look it up! Concepts are explained in a way that teenagers on the spectrum can understand.

This book has been very helpful for the last year I've had it. Anytime my son has a question and I want to make sure he is getting accurate information we go to this book. He understands it and feels better that he is getting facts and not just guesses or opinion. Would recommend highly.

This is a simpler book for pre-pubecent and adolescent kids. The Henault book on Aspergers and Sexuality is better for adults.

Great and descriptive book.

The book was a thorough guide to physical maturation and sexuality, but didn't find it helpful for understanding issues unique to Asperger's and strategies for dealing with those issues.

Excellent for everyone.Clear, factual, informative. Answers the questions in a straightforward, factual manner. Just what my son needed and what I wanted for him.

This is a wonderfully valuable book. Bracingly clear and comprehensive, it is one that any person with Asperger's Syndrome could turn to with confidence and pleasure. More than that, though, it's a book that anyone with any questions at all about sex would find useful. I know that when I was an adolescent with hard-to-ask questions in the 1960s, it would have been a godsend. But as a father of a young man on the autism spectrum, I find the book has a special value to me: it models a way of talking to young people about life that everybody--parents, teachers, doctors, therapists--should emulate. With uncanny intelligence and sensitivity, Sarah Attwood writes in a tone that is respectful, good-humored, reassuring, and utterly frank. This distinctly friendly way of conveying information deserves cloning on a global scale.

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Download Ebook The Complete Strength Training Workout Program for Wrestlers: Increase power, speed, agility, and resistance through strength training and proper nutrition

Download Ebook The Complete Strength Training Workout Program for Wrestlers: Increase power, speed, agility, and resistance through strength training and proper nutrition

To get exactly what you actually intend to make, reading this book can be attained whenever you have possibility to review. Yeah, analysis is a needs to from everyone, not only when you are being in the university. Reading will make you better and also much better in understanding and also lessons. Many experiences can be likewise acquired from reading just. So, be a good idea to obtain all those gain from The Complete Strength Training Workout Program For Wrestlers: Increase Power, Speed, Agility, And Resistance Through Strength Training And Proper Nutrition to review and also finish.

The Complete Strength Training Workout Program for Wrestlers: Increase power, speed, agility, and resistance through strength training and proper nutrition

Download Ebook The Complete Strength Training Workout Program for Wrestlers: Increase power, speed, agility, and resistance through strength training and proper nutrition

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Product details

Paperback: 262 pages

Publisher: CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform; First Edition edition (November 13, 2015)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 1519284985

ISBN-13: 978-1519284983

Product Dimensions:

6 x 0.6 x 9 inches

Shipping Weight: 1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

1.0 out of 5 stars

3 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#498,295 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

As I am the first one to review this book, I will start by saying I am a complete rugby novice, but have a fair amount of experience and knowledge in the gym and weight room. When I received the book, I immediately recognized it is full of information you could find in the top 5 articles in a Google search for "rugby workout." While this may be helpful for someone completely new to fitness, I don't feel like anyone looking for any real conditioning information will find it here. I will hand it to the author, he lists a step-by-step how-to for each exercise, but it just felt like it was just adding to the page count, not helping anyone.The reader is expected to do some heavy footwork by way of page turning back and forth to create a workout log or tracker should they desire. The author should have created a set of tables that simply broke down each workout day and was easier to follow. The rep/set scheme is laid out, but again in paragraph form and would require a fair amount of work before anyone hits the gym. I'm not opposed to this, but for a $20 book that doesn't even include page numbers, I expected more.The nutrition section, which takes up roughly 75% of the pages, is more of a Betty Crocker cookbook focusing on high-protein meals and desserts. I didn't see much of a nutrition plan per se, and no mention of nutrition basics like calorie/macro counting is found.I was hesitant to even order this book, mainly because it had no reviews and very little information could be found online about the author. I did find that he has written many books such as this, including a series of "Creating the Ultimate..." where he creates the ultimate wrestler, volleyball player, spartan racer, cheerleader, etc. He is listed as a professional athlete and coach on his sports books, a certified meditation instructor on books about meditation and mental toughness, and a certified sports nutritionist on his nutrition focused books. While I don't discredit his certifications and experience, being a professional athlete in one or even a few sports does not give you enough knowledge to write guides on 15+ sports.Overall, I do not think I would recommend this book for anyone, regardless of their situation. If it were a $5-$8 kindle ebook, maybe, but the $20 paperback that is offered is a waste. I will be returning this for my money back, and looking elsewhere for advice on actual conditioning for rugby, not step-by-step guides on how to do a dumbbell side-bend.

This book has 5 chapters.Chapter 1 is literally 2 pages - one page is the calendar for a "normal" workout schedule, and the other page is for the "intense" workout schedule. They're the exact same calendar!Chapter 2 covers the exercises to do and describes how to perform them. This is around 40 pages, but has no diagrams or pictures so it's not particularly useful.The last 3 chapters covers recipes for breakfast, lunch, and dinner. This is the bulk of the pages in the book. I would estimate 80% of the pages are recipes.There is nothing volleyball specific in the program. It doesn't provide any particular attention to the areas that are important for volleyball, it's a general workout book and you can find better ones for the money.On the other hand if you want a recipe book that happens to provide some workout advice, spend your money here.

Never been so disappointed after receveing a book ever. This is more a recipe cook book than a book about training (3/4 of the book). I if you are interested in eating a lot of dessert there is a whole chapter on that. This book has no illustration or pictures of the exercises described. I found no interesting exercises. Seems like copy paste from the 80's. Sorry.

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